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Kamu Harcamaları Dış Ticaret ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Mınt Ülkeleri Örneği (1987-2020)
2021
Journal:  
International Journal of Disciplines Economics & Administrative Sciences Studies (IDEASTUDIES Journal)
Author:  
Abstract:

Özet “Kamu harcamaları mı ekonomik büyümenin nedenidir veya ekonomik büyüme mi kamu harcamalarının nedenidir?” soruları iktisat ve maliye literatüründe sıkça ele alınan önemli bir konudur. Bu bağlamda çalışmanın amacı kamu harcamaları ve dış ticaretin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi olarak ifade edilebilir. Çalışmada literatürdeki birçok çalışmadan farklı olarak modele dış ticaret göstergeleri de dahil edilmiştir. Bu kapsam MINT ülkelerine ait verilerle 1987-2020 dönemi için ampirik uygulamalar gerçekleştirilmiştir. Yöntem olarak AMG uzun dönem katsayı tahmincisi ve Emirmahmutoğlu Köse (2011) panel nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre kamu harcamaları ve ithalatın ekonomik büyümeyi pozitif etkilediği görülmektedir. Nedensellik sonuçlarına göre ise ekonomik büyümeden kamu harcamalarına doğru bir nedensellik olduğu yani çalışmada Wagner Hipotezinin geçerli olduğu görülmüştür.

Keywords:

Kamu Harcamalari Dis Ti̇caret ve Ekonomi̇k Buyume İli̇ski̇si̇: Mint Ulkeleri̇ Ornegi̇ (1987-2020)
2021
Author:  
Abstract:

Is public spending the cause of economic growth or is economic growth the cause of public spending? These questions are a major issue that is often addressed in economics and financial literature. In this context, the objective of the study can be expressed as public spending and the impact of foreign trade on economic growth. Unlike many studies in literature, the model also included external trade indicators. This scope has been implemented with data from the MINT countries with empirical practices for the period 1987-2020. The method was used as an AMG long-term ratio predictor and Emirmahmutoğlu & Köse (2011) panel causality test. The results show that public spending and imports have a positive impact on economic growth. According to the causal outcomes, the economic growth is the right cause for public spending, which is the Wagner Hypothesis in the study.

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International Journal of Disciplines Economics & Administrative Sciences Studies (IDEASTUDIES Journal)

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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