Özet:

This study analyzed the relationship between CO2 emissions, economic growth and foreign trade in Turkey for the period 1982-2014. The Zivot-Andrews structural broken unit root test that allowed a break in the study was applied. The unit root tests resulted in the series’ level values found that the unit root was contained, and the first differences were taken and observed that they became stable. The study was conducted by Gregory-Hansen’s structural breakable matching test to determine whether there is a long-term relationship between the variables. According to Gregory-Hansen’s integration test results, CO2 emissions, economic growth and foreign trade have been found to have a long-term integration relationship. The analysis of the long-term relationships between the variables with the integration relationship has been analyzed by the FMOLS equalization predictor where structural breakdowns can be included in the analysis as a doll variable. Turkey’s economic growth and 1% increase in foreign trade increases its CO2 emissions by 0.575% and 0.079% respectively. The findings show that, parallel to these developments in the economy, environmental quality is affected negatively.