Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye ekonomisinde Araştırma ve Geliştirme (Ar-Ge) harcamalarının ihracat üzerindeki etkisini incelemektir. Bu amaçla 1990-2018 dönemi yıllık harcamaları, ihracat, reel efektif döviz kuru ve en çok ihracat yapılan 20 ülkenin ortalama kişi başı gayri safi yurtiçi hasılası verileri kullanılarak ARDL modeli kurulmuştur. ARDL sınır testi ile eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığı test edilmiş ve değişkenlerin uzun dönem ve kısa dönem dinamikleri incelenmiştir. Analiz sonuçlarında en çok ihracat yapılan 20 ülkenin ortalama kişi başı gayri safi yurt içi hasılasının kısa vadede ihracatı etkilemediği ancak uzun dönemde pozitif etkilediği, reel efektif döviz kurunun ihracatı kısa ve uzun dönemde pozitif etkilediği görülmüştür. Ar-Ge harcamalarının ihracat üzerinde kısa dönemde negatif etkisinin olduğu ancak uzun dönem dengesinden sapmaların dengeye gelmesiyle birlikte Ar-Ge harcamalarının ihracatı uzun dönemde pozitif yönde etkilediği tespit edilmiştir.
The aim of this study is to study the impact of Research and Development (R&D) spending on exports in the Turkish economy. For this purpose, the ARDL model was established using the annual expenditure, exports, real effective exchange rate and the average non-clean domestic revenue data per person of the 20 countries with the most exports. The presence of the matching relationship with the ARDL limit test has been tested and the long-term and short-term dynamics of the variables have been studied. The results of the analysis show that the average non-clean domestic revenue per capita of the 20 most exported countries has no short-term impact on exports but has a long-term positive impact on real effective exchange rate exports in the short and long-term positive impact. R&D expenditure has a short-term negative impact on exports, but with disturbances from the long-term balance, R&D expenditure has a long-term positive impact on exports.
The aim of this study was to examine the impact on Turkey exports of Research and Development (R & D) spending in the economy. For this purpose, the ARDL model was established using the annual R & D expenditures of 1990-2018, exports, real effective exchange rate and average per capita gross domestic product data of the 20 most exported countries. The existence of cointegration relationship was tested with ARDL boundary test and long term and short term dynamics of variables were examined. As a result of the analysis, it was observed that the average per capita gross domestic product of the 20 most exported countries did not affect exports in the short term but positively affected the long term, and the real effective exchange rate positively affected the exports in the short and long term. It was determined that R&D expenditures had a negative effect on exports in the short term, but with deviations from the long-term balance, R&D expenditures had a positive impact on exports in the long term.
Dergi Türü : Uluslararası
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