Abstract:

This study aims to identify the socioeconomic factors that affect women’s first birth decision by the help of simultaneous gambling models. In this context, the use of the data of the 2015 household budget survey has been identified in the framework of semi-parametric proportionate hazard models of the person and his spouse's age, education level, disability status and the size of the household population and the income of the woman on the first birth decision. As a result of simultaneous observations in the data set, the analysis used Efron, Breslow and the exact hazard approaches. The Efron proportionate hazard model approach has been shown to give more consistent results. Also the conclusion was achieved that the important factors in the delay of the first birth decision, respectively, are the disability of the woman, the age and the educational status.

Abstract:

In this study, it is aimed to determine the socioeconomic factors that affect the first birth decision of women using the tied hazard models. In this context, the effect of woman’s age, education level, disability status, household size and income on the first birth decision are determined applying semi-parametric Efron, Breslow and Exact approximations of tied hazard models on the Turkstat 2015 Household Budget Survey data because of the frequency of tied observations in the data set. In the analyzes, Efron approximation produced more consistent results. In addition, it is concluded that the most important factors in the first birth decision are disability status of the woman, age and her educational level.

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