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  Citation Number 9
 Views 109
 Downloands 57
Balkan Ülkelerinde İşsizlik Histerisi ve Doğal Oran Hipotezinin Geçerliliği: Ampirik Bir Değerlendirme
2017
Journal:  
Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Çalışma, 7 Balkan ülkesinde doğal oran hipotezi ve işsizlik histerisi yaklaşımlarının geçerliliğini 2004:1-2016:1 döneminde çeyreklik verilerle ikinci nesil panel birim kök testleri ile test etmektedir. Histerisi etkisi işsizlik serisinin birim kök içermesiyle belirlenirken, doğal oran hipotezinin ise serinin durağan olması ile açıklanmaktadır. Çalışmanın analizinde kullanılan yöntem, Breuer vd. (2002) tarafından kullanılan SURADF panel birim kök testi; Pesaran (2007) tarafından geliştirilen CADF panel birim kök testi ve son olarak yapısal kırılmalara izin veren Carrion-i-Silvestre vd. (2005) tarafından geliştirilen panel KPSS (PANKPSS) testi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmadan elde edilen bulgular, işsizlik serilerinin SURADF, CADF ve PANKPSS test sonuçlarına göre incelenen tüm ülkelerde durağan olduğunu göstermektedir. Bu sonuçlar, Balkan ülkelerinde geçici şokların işsizlik oranları üzerinde kalıcı etkilere yol açmadığını ve doğal oran hipotezinin geçerli olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.

Keywords:

Unemployment Hysteria In Balkan Countries and Natural Proportion Of Hypothesia's Validity Amprified Assessment
2017
Author:  
Abstract:

the study tested the validity of natural proportion hypothesia and unemployment hysteric approaches in 7 balkan161 period with quarter data, the second generation panel unit stem tests with root tests in 2004120161, while the natural proportion hypothesia is determined by the root of the unemployment series, while the natural rate is explained by the analysis of the study, the method used by the breuer vd 2002, the waterradf panel unit stem test was developed by pesaran 2007, the cadf panel unit is used by the detection of the panps and the lastly structural fractures in the carrionitrevessil vdrafts, developed by the results of the results of the permanent panf panels in the patients, and the results of the result of the results of the results of the results of the results of the tests of the natural witches, which are used in the results of the result of the results of the results of the results of the work, which have been developed by witches, which have been developed by witches, which are obtained in the results of the results of the results of the results in the results of the results of the work, which have been developed by witches, which are used in the

Keywords:

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Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Ulusal

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