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DÖVİZ KURU OYNAKLIĞININ TÜRKİYE’NİN İTHALAT AKIMLARI ÜZERİNE ETKİSİ
2020
Journal:  
Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışma, Türkiye’deki döviz kuru oynaklığının ithalat akımları üzerindeki etkisini ARDL) sınır testi (bound test) ve hata düzeltme modeli kullanarak analiz etmektedir. Döviz kuru oynaklığı ise Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) modeli ile ölçülmüştür. Çalışmada elde edilen bulgulara göre, döviz kuru oynaklığı ve ithalat değişkenleri arasında istatistiki olarak anlamlı bir ilişki bulunamamıştır. Ayrıca, teorik beklentilere uygun şekilde reel efektif döviz kurlarında bir artış ithalatı olumlu etkilemektedir. Son olarak ise, yine beklentilere uygun şekilde, Türkiye’nin milli gelirinde meydana gelecek bir artışın ithalat üzerindeki etkisi pozitif olmuştur.

Keywords:

The influence of Turkey’s tourism on the imports
2020
Author:  
Abstract:

This study analyses the impact of currency currency in Turkey on import flows using the ARDL border test (bound test) and error correction model. The currency is measured by the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH). According to the findings obtained in the study, there was no statistically meaningful relationship between the currency rate and the import variables. In addition, an increase in real effective exchange rates in accordance with the theoretical expectations positively affects imports. Finally, again, according to expectations, the impact of the upcoming increase in the national income of Turkey on imports has been positive.

Keywords:

The Impact Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Turkey’s Import Flows
2020
Author:  
Abstract:

This paper investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility on import volumes in Turkey by conducting autoregressive distributed lag bound testing approach and error correction representation. The volatilities of exchange rate is measured by Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. The results show that there is no statistically significant relationship between the exchange rate volatility and import volumes. In addition, an increase in real effective exchange rate reveals a significant positive impact on import volumes in line with theoretical expectations. Finally, an increase in national income produces positive effects on import as expected.

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Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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Article : 918
Cite : 5.282
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Uluslararası İktisadi ve İdari İncelemeler Dergisi