Atıf Sayısı
3
Görüntüleme
30
İndirme
1
Görünmez el ve serbest piyasa odağındaki klasik görüşün 1929 krizine çözüm üretememesi, ekonomik oyuna müdahaleleri öngören Keynesgil yaklaşımlara kapı aralamıştır. Böylece sanayi devriminden itibaren güven duyulan liberal politikaların yerini refah merkezli politikalar almaya başlamıştır ve bu durum 1970li yıllara kadar sürmüştür. 1970lerde yaşanan gelişmeler sonucunda refah yaklaşımından neoliberal politikalara yöneliş başlamıştır. Bu dönüşüm sürecinde toplumlar sosyoekonomik ve politik anlamda ciddi krizlerle karşı karşıya kalmışlardır. Ortaya çıkan sorunlarla baş edebilmek için ülkeler 1980ler itibaren sosyal harcamalar yapmaya başlamışlar ve zaman içinde bu harcamalar ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin varlığı ve mahiyeti sorgulanmaya başlamıştır. Çalışma kapsamında Türkiye’nin 1980 sonrası dönemde aynî ve nakdî kamusal sosyal harcamaların ekonomik büyüme ile olan ilişkisi incelenmektedir. Bu doğrultuda ilk olarak IMF ve OECD-SOCX veri tabanından elde edilen değişkenlerin durağanlıkları Genişletilmiş Dickey - Fuller (ADF) ve Phillips – Perron (PP) birim kök sınamalarıyla test edilmektedir. Ardından değişkenler arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişkileri analiz eden yapısal vektör oto regresyon analizi (SVAR) yapılarak etki-tepki fonksiyonları, varyans ayrıştırması ve pairwise Granger nedensellik testi yapılmıştır. Elde edilen analiz sonuçlarına göre değişkenler birbirlerini değişen oranlarda etkilemektedirler ve nakdî sosyal harcamalar ile aynî sosyal harcamalar ve GSYH arasında tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi mevcuttur. Bu durum sosyal harcamaların ekonomik büyüme üzerinde etkili olduğunu ifade eden Keynesgil yaklaşım ve İçsel Büyüme modellerini destekler mahiyettedir ve sosyal harcamaların Türkiye ekonomisinde bir tür yatırım olduğunu ifade etmektedir.
The invisible hand and the classical view of the free market focus failed to produce a solution to the 1929 crisis has opened the door to Keynesgil approaches that predict interventions in the economic game. Thus, since the industrial revolution, reliable liberal policies began to be replaced by prosperity-centric policies, which lasted until the 1970s. As a result of the developments in the 1970s, the neoliberal approach of prosperity began to be directed to the political. In this process of transformation, socially-economically and politically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, socially-economically, and socially-economically. In order to cope with the emerging problems, the countries began to make social spending since the 1980s, and over time the existence and nature of the relationship between these spending and economic growth began to be questioned. In the context of the study, the relationship between the equal and cash public social spending of Turkey in the period after 1980 and economic growth is examined. In this regard, the stages of the variables obtained first from the IMF and the OECD-SOCX database are tested by the Extended Dickey - Fuller (ADF) and Phillips - Perron (PP) unit root tests. Thus, the structural vector auto regression analysis (SVAR) which analyzes the long-term relationships between the variables has been performed by the effect-track functions, variance separation and pairwise Granger causality test. According to the results of the analysis, the variables influence each other in variable rates and there is a one-way causal relationship between the cash social expenditure and the same social expenditure and GDP. This situation supports Keynesgil’s approach and internal growth models that express that social spending is an investment in the Turkish economy.
The fact that the classical school, which focuses on the invisible hand and free market, could not produce a solution to the crisis of 1929 and so opened the door to the Keynesian approaches that envisaged interventions to the economic game. Thus, liberal policies, which were trusted since the industrial revolution, were replaced with welfare-centered policies and this continued until the 1970s. As a result of the socioeconomic developments in the 1970s, the welfare state approach was started to be abandoned and Neoliberal policies began to come to the agenda again. In this process of transformation, societies have faced serious crisis in socioeconomic and political terms. To cope with emerging problems, countries have started to make social spending since the 1980s and over time, the existence and nature of the relationship between these expenditures and economic growth began to be questioned. In the scope of study, the relationship between social expenditures (in kind and cash) and economic growth is examined for Turkey. In this respect, the stationarity of variables, taken from IMF and OECD-SOCX database, are tested with the Dickey - Fuller (ADF) and Phillips - Perron (PP) unit root tests. Then, structural vector auto regression analysis (SVAR) was used to analyze long-term relationships between variables, and impulse-response functions, variance decomposition, and pairwise Granger causality test were performed. According to the results of the structural analysis, variables affect each other in varying proportions and there is a unidirectional causal relationship from cash public social expenditures to the social expenditures (in kind) and GDP. This situation supports the Keynesian approach and endogenous growth theories, which state that social expenditures are acts like a type of investment and effective on economic growth in Turkey.
Alan : Eğitim Bilimleri; Sağlık Bilimleri; Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler
Dergi Türü : Ulusal
Makale Detay 
Atıf Yapanlar
Benzer Makaleler
PDF Görüntüle
Dergi Bilgisi
Eseri Dinleyin
Bu Sayfayı Yazdırın
Paylaş
Mendeley
