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  Citation Number 5
 Views 49
 Downloands 16
MALİ SİSTEMİN SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİRLİĞİ: TÜRKİYE İÇİN YENİ NESİL BİR ZAMAN SERİSİ ANALİZİ
2020
Journal:  
Ekonomi Bilimleri Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışmada Türkiye’de mali sistemin sürdürülebilirliği, Hakkio ve Rush (1991) ve Quintos (1995) tarafından geliştirilen model çerçevesinde, 2006M01-2019M11 dönemi için analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmada serilerin durağanlığı, yapısal kırılmalı Lee ve Strazicich (2003) yöntemiyle incelenmiş ve serilerin düzey değerlerinde durağan olmadığı belirlenmiştir. Seriler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığı, rejimde yapısal kırılmalara izin veren Hatemi-J (2008) yöntemiyle test edilmiş ve seriler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin var olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Uzun dönem analizi DOLS yöntemiyle gerçekleştirilmiş ve bütçe harcaması değişkenin katsayısı 0.97 bulunmuştur. Bu sonuç Türkiye’de ilgili dönemde mali sistemin güçlü biçimde sürdürülebilir olduğunu göstermektedir. Çalışmada kısa dönem analizi de DOLS yöntemiyle gerçekleştirilmiş ve modelin hata düzeltme mekanizmasının çalıştığı tespit edilmiştir.

Keywords:

Sustainability of the financial system: a new generation of time series analysis for Turkey
2020
Author:  
Abstract:

In this study, the sustainability of the financial system in Turkey, in the framework of the model developed by Hakkio and Rush (1991) and Quintos (1995) was analyzed for the 2006M01-2019M11 period. The study examined the stagnation of the series by the structural broken Lee and Strazicich (2003) method and determined that the series were not stagnant in the level values. The existence of the matching relationship between the series has been tested by the Hatemi-J (2008) method that allows structural breakdowns in the regime and has been found that there is a matching relationship between the series. The long-term analysis was carried out using the DOLS method and the budget spending ratio of the variable was 0.97. This result shows that the financial system in Turkey is strongly sustainable during the relevant period. The study also conducted short-term analysis using the DOLS method and found that the model's error correction mechanism was working.

Keywords:

0
2020
Author:  
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Ekonomi Bilimleri Dergisi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Ulusal

Metrics
Article : 213
Cite : 1.794
Ekonomi Bilimleri Dergisi