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  Citation Number 3
 Views 55
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Cari Açık - Bütçe Açığı ve Faiz Oranı İlişkisi Bağlamında İkiz Açık ve Üçüz Açık Hipotezinin Geçerliliği: 1990-2019 Dönemi Türkiye Örneği
2021
Journal:  
Sosyoekonomi
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışmada 1990-2019 dönemi için Türkiye’de net tasarruf oranı ve faiz oranları kapsamında ‘ikiz açık’ ve ‘üçüz açık’ hipotezlerinin geçerliliği Bayer-Hanck (2012) eşbütünleşme testi ve Hacker-Hatemi J (2006) nedensellik testi ile analiz edilmektedir. Hacker ve Hatemi-J (2006) nedensellik analizi bulgularına göre, bütçe açığından cari açığa, bütçe açığından faiz oranına, faiz oranından cari açığa ve faiz oranından tasarruf oranına doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Türkiye için incelenen dönem için, ‘İkiz Açık’ hipotezinin geçerliliği kabul edilmekte ancak üçüz açık hipotezinin geçerli olmadığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Keywords:

Validity Of Twin Deficit and Triplet Deficit Hypothesis In The Relation Of Current Account Deficit - Budget Deficit and Interest Rate: 1990-2019 Case Of Turkey
2021
Journal:  
Sosyoekonomi
Author:  
Abstract:

In this study, 1990-2019 period for Turkey, 'twin deficits' and 'triplet deficit’ validity was analysed with Bayer-Hanck (2012) cointegration test and Hacker-Hatemi-J causality test. According to the findings of the causality analysis of Hacker and Hatemi-J (2006), it is concluded that there is a one-way causality relationship from budget deficit to current account deficit, from budget deficit to interest rate, from interest rate to current account deficit, and from interest rate to net savings rate. In the period analysed for Turkey, ‘Twin Deficits that the hypothesis is valid but that the triplet deficit hypothesis is not valid.

Keywords:

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Sosyoekonomi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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