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  Citation Number 6
 Views 73
 Downloands 43
Türkiye'de Uluslararası Turizm Talebinin Dinamik Panel Veri Analizi
2019
Journal:  
Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis
Author:  
Abstract:

Türkiye Akdeniz’e kıyısı olan, tarihi ve kültürel dokusuyla dikkat çeken önemli turizm destinasyonlarından biridir. Yabancı turistler sayesinde turizm sektörü Türk ekonomisine döviz getirisi sağlayan sektörlerin başında gelmektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’nin uluslararası turizm talebini belirleyen faktörleri ortaya koymaktır. Bu amaçla, Türkiye’ye turist gönderen 24 ülkenin 2010-2017 yıllarına ilişkin verilerinden yararlanılmıştır. Uluslararası turizm talebini temsilen ülkeye gelen yabancı turist sayısı kullanılmıştır. Modelde turist tercihlerinin değişen yapısı dikkate alındığı için dinamik panel veri analizi uygulanmıştır. Bağımlı değişkenin gecikmeli değerinin açıklayıcı değişken olarak modele eklenmesi sayesinde turistlerin sadakati ve tavsiyeleri ölçülebilmektedir. Bir dönem önceki turizm talebinin, kişi başı gelirin, arz kapasitesinin ve Türkiye’deki politik istikrarın turizm talebini olumlu etkilediği; göreli fiyat, terör olayları ve 2016’daki darbe girişiminin turizm talebini olumsuz etkilediği; nispi döviz kurlarının ise turizm talebini etkilemediği saptanmıştır.

Keywords:

Turkiye'de Uluslararasi Turizm Talebinin Dinamik Panel Veri Analizi
2019
Author:  
Abstract:

Turkey is one of the main tourist destinations that attracts attention with its historical and cultural textures, which is on the Mediterranean coast. Thanks to foreign tourists, the tourism sector is in the top of the sectors that provide foreign exchange returns to the Turkish economy. The aim of this study is to reveal the factors that determine the international tourism demand of Turkey. For this purpose, the data of 24 countries sending tourists to Turkey for the years 2010-2017 have been used. The number of foreign tourists arriving in the country representing the international tourism demand has been used. In the model, dynamic panel data analysis has been applied as the changing structure of tourist preferences is taken into account. Thanks to the adding of the delayed value of the dependent variable as an explanatory variable to the model, tourists can measure their loyalty and advice. The previous period of tourism demand, per person income, supply capacity and political stability in Turkey have a positive impact on tourism demand; the relative price, terror events and the 2016 coup attempt have a negative impact on tourism demand; the relative exchange rate has no impact on tourism demand.

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Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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