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  Citation Number 2
 Views 43
 Downloands 13
SEÇİLİ GEÇİŞ EKONOMİLERİNDE POLİTİK İSTİKRARIN MAKROEKONOMİK BELİRLEYİCİLERİ
2019
Journal:  
Journal of History School
Author:  
Abstract:

Politik istikrarla makroekonomik belirleyiciler arasındaki ilişki iktisat teorisinde özellikle son yıllarda sıkça tartışılan bir konudur. Bu çalışmada 2002-2017 dönemi yıllık verilerle Avrupa Birliği üyesi 10 Merkezi ve Doğu Avrupa (MDA) geçiş ekonomisinde (Çek Cumhuriyeti, Estonya, Macaristan, Letonya, Litvanya, Polonya, Slovakya, Slovenya, Romanya ve Bulgaristan) politik istikrar ile makroekonomik belirleyiciler arasındaki ilişki panel veri analiz yöntemiyle incelenmiştir. Ampirik analizlerde bağımlı değişken olarak politik istikrar, bağımsız değişken olarak ise, kişi başı gayri safi yurtiçi hâsıla, ticari açıklık oranı, tüketici fiyat endeksi, işsizlik oranı ve birliğe üye olunan tarihleri göstermek amacıyla kukla değişken kullanılmıştır. Güncel panel veri ekonometrisinden faydalanılarak yapılan ampirik analizde panel vektör otoregresyon modeline göre, kısa dönemde ticari açıklık oranından ve tüketici fiyat endeksinden politik istikrara doğru, panel hata düzeltme modeline göre, Avrupa Birliği’ne katılımı gösteren kukla değişkenden, kişi başı gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıladan, işsizlik oranından, ticari açıklık oranından ve tüketici fiyat endeksinden bir bütün halinde politik istikrara uzun dönem nedensellik bulunmaktadır.

Keywords:

The macroeconomic indicators of political aspirations in the elective economies
2019
Author:  
Abstract:

The relationship between political stability and macroeconomic determinants is a topic that has been frequently discussed in the theory of economics, especially in recent years. This study examined the relationship between the 2002-2017 period and the European Union member 10 Central and Eastern Europe (MDA) transitional economies (Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Romania and Bulgaria) and macroeconomic determiners by panel data analysis method. As a dependent variable in empirical analyses, the political stability and as an independent variable, the doll variable has been used to indicate the unclean domestic status per person, the trade transparency rate, the consumer price index, the unemployment rate and the dates of membership in the union. In the empirical analysis made using the current panel data econometrics, according to the panel vector autoregression model, from the short-term trade transparency rate and from the consumer price index to political stability, according to the panel error correction model, from the European Union participating doll exchange, from the non-profit domestic income per person, from the unemployment rate, from the trade transparency rate and from the consumer price index, there is a long-term cause to political stability in a whole.

Keywords:

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Journal of History School

Field :   Eğitim Bilimleri

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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Journal of History School