Özet:

The historical silk road, a route where trade has continued for centuries and where cultures interact, has been transformed into the Belt Road Project by being more modernized as Chinese leader Xi Jinping announced in 2013. Turkey has the potential to reduce the current account deficit by increasing its exports by improving its relations with the Belt and Road countries. It is aimed to analyze the export potential of Turkey to the Belt and Road countries with this study. In this direction, a gravity model was created by preparing a panel data set covering the countries that Turkey exports to in the Belt and Road Project and including the period between 2000 and 2019. According to the results, it has been determined that the gross domestic product and population of Turkey and the Belt Road countries positively affect Turkey's exports to the Belt Road countries. On the other hand, it has been observed that the distance between Turkey and the Belt and Road countries, the average customs tariff rates applied by the Belt and Road countries in their international trade, and the fact that the Belt and Road countries are surrounded by land have a negative effect on Turkey's exports to the Belt Road countries.

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