Özet:

In this study, it is aimed to analyze the yield and price risk of dry onion, wheat, sugar beet, barley, sunflower and corn grain, grown commonly in Amasya province, by using “Variation Measurement” and “Random Variation Measurement” methods. Research data covered 1994-2008 periods. In order to determine a suitable trend equation, Cumulative Sum of Forecast Error Method was used. For each trend, variation and random variation coefficients were calculated. Variation measurements, belonged to important crops grown in region, showed that the yield fluctuation is more severe on corn grain, but price fluctuation is more severe on dry onion. According to the results of risk analysis, diversification of production activities, cooperativization, agricultural insurance and contract farming can be recommended for farms

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