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Aralık 2019’da ilk olarak Çin’in Wuhan kentinde ortaya çıkıp, kısa zamanda tüm kıtalara yayılan salgın her ulusu farklı boyutlarda etkilemiştir. Covid-19 bireyler arasında ayrımcılık yapmadığı halde toplumun dezavantajlı kesimini oluşturan yaşlı gruplar üzerinde, hastalığın seyri ve ölüm oranları açısından ağır bir yük oluşturmaktadır. Özellikle ilave hastalığı bulunanlarda ve 65 yaş üzerinde yoğunlaşan ölümler salgının belirli bir kitleyi hedef aldığını göstermiştir. Dolayısıyla pandemi kökenli yaşlı ölüm oranları, yaşlılığın ve diğer göstergelerin kullanıldığı geniş bir yelpazede ele alınarak, uluslararası karşılaştırılmalı bir tabloyla daha net görülmesi hedeflenmiştir. Bu kapsamda 25 Eylül tarihine kadar vaka sayısı 5000 üzerinde olan 85 ülke örneklem grubuna seçilmiştir. Covid-19 vaka/ ölüm oranları ile ülkelerin yaşlanma süreçleri arasında bir ilişki olup olmadığını anlayabilmek için Kümeleme Analizi kullanılmıştır. Bunun sonucunda ortaya çıkan 5 kümenin Covid-19 kaynaklı yaşlı ölüm oranlarıyla ilişkisi merkeze alınıp, uluslararası karşılaştırmalar yapıldığında Covid-19/yaşlı-ölüm ilişkisi daha net anlaşılmıştır. En yaşlı olan birinci kümeden, en genç olan son kümeye doğru Covid-19 kaynaklı yaşlı ölümlerin azaldığı tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca gelişmiş ülkelerin Covid-19 kaynaklı yaşlı ölümleri, gelişmemiş ülkelere göre daha yüksek çıkmıştır. Covid-19 kaynaklı yaşlı ölümlerin yoğun olduğu ülkelerde ise potansiyel destek oranı düşük çıkmıştır. Temiz suya erişim, toplam gelirde sağlık harcamaları oranı ve kabinedeki kadın temsilci oranının, Covid-19 kaynaklı yaşlı ölümleri ile zayıf bir ilişkisi bulunmuştur. Salgın kaynaklı yaşlı ölüm oranının, sosyo-ekonomik, sağlık ve politik göstergelerden oluşan 11 faktör ile ilişkisi incelenmek için Çoklu Doğrusal Regresyon Analizi yapılmıştır. Bunun sonucunda ise Covid-19 kaynaklı yaşlı ölüm oranı ile diğer değişkenler arasında pozitif orta düzeyde bir varyans bulunmuştur. Çalışmanın son safhasında ise Türkiye’deki yaşlı nüfusun Covid-19 ölüm oranı ve mevcut salgın yönetimi değerlendirilmiştir.
In December 2019, the epidemic first appeared in the Chinese city of Wuhan, and shortly spread throughout the continents affected each nation in different dimensions. Covid-19 creates a heavy burden on the elderly groups that make up the disadvantaged part of society, although they do not discriminate between individuals, in terms of the course of the disease and the death rate. Especially in those with additional disease and deaths concentrated over the age of 65 have shown that the epidemic targeted a certain mass. Therefore, the rates of aging deaths from pandemic origins are aimed to be clearer with an international comparative table, taking into account the wide range of age and other indicators used. In this framework, the number of cases has been selected in the sample group of 85 countries, with the number of cases over 5,000 until September 25. Covid-19 has been used to understand whether there is a relationship between the cases/death rates and the ageing processes of the countries. As a result, the relationship between the 5 grounds that arise with the Covid-19-based age-death rates was centered, and when international comparisons were made, the Covid-19/age-death ratio was clearer. From the oldest group to the youngest group to the last group, Covid-19 caused elderly deaths have been reduced. The number of Covid-19 deaths in developed countries has also increased compared to the number of non-developed countries. In countries where Covid-19 causes aging deaths are intense, the potential support rate has been low. Access to clean water, the percentage of total income health expenditure and the percentage of women representative in the cabin have found a weak relationship with Covid-19-related elderly deaths. The Multi-Natural Regression Analysis was conducted to study the relationship between the age-related death rate and 11 factors consisting of socio-economic, health and political indicators. As a result, a positive middle-level variation was found between the Covid-19 resulting aging mortality rate and other variables. In the final stage of the study, the death rate of the elderly population in Turkey Covid-19 and the current epidemic management were assessed.
The epidemic, which first appeared in Wuhan, China in December 2019 and spread to all continents in a short time, affected every nation in different dimensions. Although Covid-19 does not discriminate between individuals, it poses a heavy burden in the disadvantaged group in terms of the course of the disease and causes of death. Deaths in those with additional diseases and intensifying the age of 65 show that the epidemic is targeting a specific population. Therefore, pandemic-based elderly mortality rates are aimed to be seen more clearly with an international comparative table by considering a wide range of old age and other indicators. In this context, 85 countries with more than 5000 cases until September 25 were selected to the sample group. Cluster analysis was used to understand whether there is a relationship between Covid-19 case / death rates and the aging processes of countries. The relationship of the 5 clusters that emerged as a result of this, with the elderly mortality rates caused by Covid-19, was taken into the center and the relationship between Covid-19/Elderly-Death was understood more clearly when international comparisons were made. It was determined that elderly deaths from Covid-19 decreased from the oldest first cluster to the youngest cluster. In addition, elderly deaths from Covid-19 were higher in developed countries than in undeveloped countries. Potential support rate was low where deaths associated with Covid-19 were concentrated. Access to clean water, healthcare spending, and the proportion of female cabinet representatives were found to be weakly associated with deaths from Covid-19. Multiple Linear Regression Analysis was conducted to examine the relationship between epidemic mortality rate of the elderly and 11 factors consisting of socio-economic, health and political indicators. As a result, it was found to have a positive intermediate variance between Covid-19-related elderly mortality and other data. In the last part of the study, the Covid-19 outbreak in the capture and death rates of the elderly population in Turkey compared to other countries and assessed the current outbreak management.
Alan : Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler
Dergi Türü : Ulusal
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