This article estimates crude divorce rates using Markov chain model. Markov models are constructed for the divorce rates of 27 European Union countries. Divorce rates are estimated by the product of the initial probability matrix and transition probability matrix. Limiting matrices of the estimations are found. Main results of this study are i) divorce rates in higher categories in 2015 stay in the same categories in the long run, ii) Only Belgium’s crude divorce rate will certainly be realized and be stationary over 2015 mean of EU 27, iii) Based on Markov models with three and four categories, 2018 divorce rates will more likely be realized and be stationary in lower categories, iv) Turkey’s crude divorce rate will certainly be under 2015 mean of EU 27 in the long run, and v) Based on Markov model with five categories, the divorce rate of the countries with higher likelihood of divorce in the upper categories will be stationary in the upper categories and the divorce rate of the countries with lower likelihood of starting in the lower categories will be stationary in the lower categories.
this article explains how many times you are using markov chain model markov models are waiting for the divorce rates of 27 european union countries divorce rates are forecast by the product of the initial separation matrix and transition limiting matrices of the estimations are fund main results of this study are i divorce rates in high categories in 2015 stay in the same categories in the long run ii only belgium's raw divorce rate will surely be realized and beary station over 2015 mean of eu 27 iii based on markov models with additional categories of divorces in the price of the hard run in 2014 in the long run in russia with extreme rates from the long run i possible rate of lower categories in the price of the lower categories of prices in the prices in the price of the discounted rates in the prices in the long run in the long run in russia with prices in the long run in the long run ii only rate of lower categories of the prices in the long run in the long run in the long run in the long run in the long run in the long run ii rate of the lower categories of lower categories of lower categories of lower categories of the prices in the prices in the price of lower categories of lower categories of prices in the price of
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