Özet:

Climate change significantly damages ecological, social and economic systems. With the increase in carbon dioxide and other heat-holding (sera) gases released into the atmosphere as a result of human activities, the global average temperature will rise, the rains will be affected, the ice and snow cover will decrease, the sea level will rise, the acidity of the ocean will increase, the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme events will increase, the various ecosystem characteristics will be seen. All these incidents that are expected to increase and change will inevitably increase threats to human health. Therefore, it is important to examine the changes that occur in the climate and the possibilities that occur. The eastern Mediterranean pool, which is also located within Turkey, is one of the most sensitive areas to climate change. As well as the Eastern Mediterranean pool contains Africa and the Middle East deserts, the air quality has decreased due to the frequent dust transfer in the region, with increased quantity of aerosols. In this study, it has primarily studied the Eastern Mediterranean Basin in general and the temperature and rainfall for the period 1981-2010 for Turkey, and the aerosol changes and trends for the period 2003-2017. The Mann-Kendall test was conducted to determine whether the changes occurred in the 95% confidence range. Then, the global climate model of GFDL-ESM2M has been discussed for the temperature and rain forecast.

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