Özet:

: To obtain timely, accurate, and reliable information on wheat yield dynamics. The UAV DJI Wizard 4-multispectral version was utilized to acquire multispectral images of winter wheat during the tasseling, grouting, and ripening periods, and to manually acquire ground yield data. Sixteen vegetation indices were screened by correlation analysis, and eight textural features were extracted from five single bands in three fertility periods. Subsequently, models for estimating winter wheat yield were developed utilizing multiple linear regression (MLR), partial least squares (PLS), BP neural network (BPNN), and random forest regression (RF), respectively. (1) The results indicated a consistent correlation between the two variable types and yield across various fertility periods. This correlation consistently followed a sequence: heading period > filling period > mature stage. (2) The model’s accuracy improves significantly when incorporating both texture features and vegetation indices for estimation, surpassing the accuracy achieved through the estimation of a single variable type. (3) Among the various models considered, the partial least squares (PLS) model integrating texture features and vegetation indices exhibited the highest accuracy in estimating winter wheat yield. It achieved a coefficient of determination (R 2) of 0.852, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 74.469 kg·hm −2, and a normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of 7.41%. This study validates the significance of utilizing image texture features along with vegetation indices to enhance the accuracy of models estimating winter wheat yield. It demonstrates that UAV multispectral images can effectively establish a yield estimation model. Combining vegetation indices and texture features results in a more accurate and predictive model compared to using a single index.

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