Özet:

This paper aims to investigate the driving forces of changes in energy sector consumption in Turkey for the 1970-2018 period when significant changes occurred in the economic and demographic structure of the country. For this purpose, the study investigates the effects of these changes on energy consumption in primary sectors such as agriculture, industry, housing and services, and transportation using the additive version of the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) decomposition analysis. The results of analysis show that on average, energy consumption increased with the influence of the volume of output in each sector, whereas it is decreased with the influence of intensity in sectors except agriculture. In other words, while the output effect has an intense influence on the energy consumption sector through the increase in production, the intensity effect has a decreasing influence on the energy consumption sector due to the decreasing tendency of the energy density in sectors. The structural effect, on the other hand, creates an effect that decreases energy consumption in agriculture and industry sectors, and increases energy consumption in housing and services and transportation sectors. It is thought that the differentiation of these effects occurring in the energy use of the sectors is due to the differentiation of the economic policies followed by the country depending on the structural transformation that occurred in the period examined.

Anahtar Kelimeler: