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  Citation Number 5
 Views 41
 Downloands 11
KIRILGAN BEŞLİ EKONOMİLERİ İÇİN YAKINSAMA HİPOTEZİNİN GEÇERLİLİĞİ
2020
Journal:  
Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Yakınsama hipotezi, Neoklasik teoriye dayanan Solow büyüme modeli temelli, göreli yoksul ülkelerin zengin ülkelere kıyasla daha hızlı büyüyeceği varsayımına dayanmaktadır. Özellikle 1980’lerden sonra bu alanındaki çalışmaların genişlemesiyle yakınsama hipotezi türlerine farklı bakış açıları getirilmiştir. Bunlardan biri de güçlü öngörülebilirliğe sahip, ülke veya bölgelerin kişi başı GSYH seviyelerini baz alan σ-yakınsama türüdür. Çalışmada kırılgan beşli ülkelerinin kişi başı GSYH’lerinin birbirlerine ve grup içindeki lider ülkeye önce topluca ardından bireysel olarak yakınsayıp yakınsamadığı, 1980-2017 örneklem dönemi için çağdaş panel birim kök testleriyle araştırılmıştır. Bulgulara göre, kırılgan beşli ülkelerinin birbirlerine yakınsamadığı belirlenmiştir. Lider ülke olarak seçilen Güney Afrika’ya ülkelerin, %5 anlamlılık seviyesinde kuvvetli yakınsama gösterdikleri tespit edilmiştir. Türkiye açısından ise hem bireysel hem de topluca yakınsama gerçekleşmiştir. Hindistan ve Güney Afrika’nın, Türkiye’ye %5 anlamlılık seviyesinde zayıf yakınsama, Endonezya ve Brezilya’nın ise %5 anlamlılık seviyesinde kuvvetli yakınsama gösterdikleri gözlemlenmiştir.

Keywords:

The reality of the hypothesis for the KIRILGAN FIVE ECONOMY
2020
Author:  
Abstract:

The approximation hypothesis is based on the Neoclassic theory-based Solow growth model assumption that relatively poor countries will grow faster than wealthy countries. Especially after the 1980s, with the expansion of studies in this field, different perspectives have been brought to the types of proximity hypothesis. One of these is the σ-approximation type, which has a strong predictability, based on the country or region’s GDP levels per person. In the study, the vulnerable five countries have been investigated by the contemporary panel unit root tests for the 1980-2017 sample period, where GDP per person is closer to each other and the leading country within the group before collectively and then individually. The findings show that the fragile five countries are not close to each other. It is found that the countries in South Africa, which were elected as the leading country, showed strong proximity at a 5% level of significance. In Turkey, both individual and collective proximity has occurred. India and South Africa have seen a weak proximity to Turkey at 5%, while Indonesia and Brazil have seen a strong proximity at 5%.

Keywords:

Validity Of Convergence Hypothesis For Fragile Five Economies
2020
Author:  
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Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

Field :   Eğitim Bilimleri

Journal Type :   Ulusal

Metrics
Article : 1.927
Cite : 18.201
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Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi