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Referans Evapotrasprasyonun Tahmin Edilmesinde ARIMA Yaklaşımı
2020
Journal:  
Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Çalışmadaki amaç SARIMA modellerle referans evapotranspırasyonun (ETo) tahmin edilmesi üzerinedir. Bu Konya meteoroloji istasyonunun bazı parametrelerine bağlı olarak elde edilen aylık ETo veri seti kullanılarak gerçekleştirilmiştir. ETo veri setinin durağanlığı fark alınarak sağlanmıştır. Durağan seri için bütün koşulları yerine getiren üç SARIMA modeli tanımlanmıştır. Bu modeller AIC ve SBC kriterlerine göre çok yakın tutumluluk (parsimony) değerlerine sahip olmuşlardır.

Keywords:

Forecasting Reference Evapotranspiration By Arima Approach
2020
Author:  
Abstract:

The effort in the study is on forecasting reference evapotranspiration (ETo) by the SARIMA models. This was accomplished by using monthly ETo dataset obtained based on some parameters from meteorology station of Konya province. Stationary of the ETo dataset was fulfilled with differencing. Three SARIMA models that provides all conditions for the stationary data set were identified. The models have very close parsimony values depending on AIC and SBC criteria.

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Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi