Özet:

Coronaviridae, a species of the Coronaviridae family, are covered viruses with a large plus wire RNA genome. Serologically, three different coronavirus groups are identified. Viruses in each group are characterized by residential intervals and genom series. Coronavirus is identified in mice, rats, chickens, hindu, pigs, dogs, cats, rabbits, horses, cows and humans and can cause a variety of serious diseases such as gastroenteritis and respiratory diseases. The infection is very high. This virus, which can be transmitted through the breath, is easily transmitted through the drops, which means it can be transmitted. According to the study, people who have been in close contact with each other have been infected for a very short time. In addition, the infectious virus is placed in the respiratory pathways, sitting in the lungs and continuing to divide there. As a result, it causes large and permanent damage to the lungs, causing deadly damage to the living living organism. The global impact of the new coronavirus (COVID-19) surrounds the world with an increasing momentum. To correctly predict the verified cases and make a health outcome, it requires not only cases but also the analysis of the number of deaths and healing. However, a broad history data is needed to predict. At the same time, no forecast is certain because the future is rarely repeated in the same way as the past. Furthermore, the forecasts are influenced by the reliability of the data, the gained interest areas, and which variables are predicted. Psychological factors play an important role in how people perceive the danger caused by the disease and the fear that it can affect them personally and how they react to them. This study shows an objective approach to predict the continuation of COVID-19 in a simple but strong method. The data used are reliable data shared by the World Health Organization (WHO) and each country shares this information. The estimates of the disease show that there is a constant increase in cases of COVID-19. The risk increases from day to day, and the risk tends to decline. This study describes the timetable of a live forecast work that has great effects on planning and decision making and provides objective forecasts for confirmed COVID-19 cases.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Özet:

Coronaviruses, a genus of the Coronaviridae family, are enveloped viruses with a large plus-strand RNA genome. Three serologically different coronavirus groups have been identified. Viruses in each group are characterized by host ranges and genome sequences. Coronaviruses have been identified in mice, rats, chickens, turkeys, pigs, dogs, cats, rabbits, horses, cattle and humans, and can cause a variety of serious illnesses such as gastroenteritis and respiratory diseases. Its infectiousness is very high. This virus that can be transmitted by inhalation is also very easy to transmit via droplet. As the studies show, it has been observed that individuals who are in close contact infect each other for a very short time. In addition, the infected virus settles in the respiratory tract, sits in the lungs and continues to divide there. As a result, the host harms the creature fatally by causing great and permanent damage to the lungs. The global impact of the new coronavirus (COVID-19) surrounds the world with a growing momentum. It requires not only the cases but also the analysis of the number of deaths and recovery in order to accurately predict the confirmed cases and make a healthy conclusion. However, extensive historical data is required for forecasting. At the same time, no prediction is certain, as the future is rarely repeated in the same way as in the past. In addition, estimations are impressed by the reliability of the data, gained interests and which variables are estimated. Psychological factors play an important role in how people perceive and react to the danger caused by the disease and the fear that it can affect them personally. This study presents an objective approach to predict the continuation of COVID-19 with a simple but robust method. The data used are reliable data that the World Health Organization (WHO) and each country shared. As a result of the estimations, it is seen that there is a continuous increase in confirmed COVID-19 cases. The risk is increasing day by day and partially tending to decrease. This study describes the timeline of a live estimation study with major impacts for planning and decision making and provides objective estimations for confirmed COVID-19 cases.