Özet:

The tourism sector is included in the international services section of the payments balance sheet, providing currency entrance as an invisible export pen. Therefore, there are significant contributions to the elimination of external disadvantages and the closure of budget disadvantages and the country’s national income increase. The growth of the tourism sector, which is one of the structures of economic development in Turkey, is a driving force for economic growth. In this study, the relationship between economic growth and tourism revenues in Turkey was analyzed using monthly data from the 2012:01- 2019: 09 period. The variables within the scope of the analysis are industrial production index, tourism income, inflation and employment rate data. The stagnation of the variables is assessed by the unit root test (Zivot-Andrews) that allows structural breakdowns. The long-term relationship of the variables within the scope of the analysis was analyzed by the Gregory-Hansen Integration Test. This structural broken test resulted in the existence of a long-term relationship between the variables. In the study, the causal relationship of the variables was studied by the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto test. The results of this test revealed a one-way causal relationship from tourism income to economic growth and from economic growth to employment.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Özet:

The tourism sector is included in the international services section of the balance of payments and provides foreign currency inflow as an invisible export item. Therefore, it has important contributions to the elimination of external deficits, closing the budget deficit and increasing the national income of the country. The increase in the development of the tourism sector, which is one of the building blocks of economic development in Turkey, is a driving force for economic growth. In this study, the relationship between economic growth and tourism revenues in Turkey has been analyzed using monthly data for the period 2012: 01- 2019: 09. The variables within the scope of the analysis; industrial production index, tourism revenues, inflation and employment rate data. The stationarity of the variables was evaluated with the (Zivot-Andrews) unit root test, which allows for structural breaks. The long-term relationship between the variables within the scope of the analysis was analyzed using the Gregory-Hansen cointegration test. This structural break test result showed the existence of a long-term relationship between variables. In the study, the causality relationship of variables was examined using the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto test. The results of this test; It revealed a one-way causality relationship from tourism revenues to economic growth and from economic growth to employment.