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Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’deki enerji tüketimi ve küreselleşme arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişkiyi 1987-2018 dönemi için araştırmaktır. Bu bağlamda Johansen ve Juselius (1990) tarafından geliştirilen eşbütünleşme testine başvurulmaktadır. Değişkenler arasındaki ilişki kısa dönem için VECM'ye bağlı Granger nedensellik ile sınanmaktadır. Uzun dönem katsayıları için ise Dinamik En Küçük Kareler (DOLS) ve Modifiye Edilmiş Sıradan En Küçük Kareler Yöntemi (FMOLS) kullanılıştır. Elde edilen bulgular, enerji tüketimi ile küreselleşme arasında uzun dönemde bir eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin bulunduğunu göstermektedir. Bununla birlikte kısa dönemde ise herhangi bir nedensel ilişkinin söz konusu olmadığı tespit edilmiştir. Bu bulgular küreselleşmenin doğasına ve enerjiyle olan ilişkisine uygun sonuçlardır. Son olarak DOLS ve FMOLS sonuçları ise küreselleşmenin enerji tüketimini pozitif etkilediğini ortaya koymaktadır.
The aim of this study is to explore the long-term relationship between energy consumption and globalization in Turkey for the period 1987-2018. In this context, it is referred to the matching test developed by Johansen and Juselius (1990). The relationship between the variables is tested by the Granger causality associated with VECM for a short period of time. For long-term ratings, the Dynamic Smallest Quadrates (DOLS) and Modified Common Smallest Quadrates (FMOLS) method are used. The findings show that there is a long-term matching relationship between energy consumption and globalization. However, in the short period, it was found that there was no causal relationship. These findings correspond to the nature and the relationship of globalization with energy. Finally, the results of DOLS and FMOLS show that globalization has a positive impact on energy consumption.
The aim of this study is to investigate the long-term relationship between energy consumption and globalization in Turkey from 1987 to 2018. In this context, the cointegration test developed by Johansen and Juselius (1990) is applied. The relationship between variables is tested with Granger causality based on VECM for the short term. For the long-run coefficients, the Dynamic Least Squares (DOLS) and Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares Method (FMOLS) were used.The findings show that there is a cointegration relationship between energy consumption and globalization in the long run. However, it was determined that there was no causal relationship in the short term. These findings are in accordance with the nature of globalization and its relationship with energy. Finally, the DOLS and FMOLS results reveal that globalization positively affects energy consumption
Field : Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler
Journal Type : Ulusal
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