Özet:

The volume of foreign trade in Turkey has recorded significant developments in recent years, but there are significant increases in trade gap and this situation also raises the question whether foreign trade is affected by exchange rates.  This study aims to reveal the direction of the relationship between foreign trade balance and currency policies for the Turkish economy after 1980.  Therefore, the external trade gap between 1995 and 2015 and the quarter-term data of the foreign non-clean income variables of the real currency, Turkey and OECD countries and time-series methods have been exploited and the existence of the long-term relationship has been analyzed by the ARDL approach. The results of the analysis show that while the balance of foreign trade and the real exchange rate have a long-term relationship between Turkey and the GDP of the OECD countries, the rate of the real exchange rate has been statistically meaningless. The GDP ratio of Turkey and OECD countries has been statistically meaningful and economically meaningful.