Abstract:

Example example example example example example example example example example example example example example In this study, the emergence of the global crisis and the response of emerging markets to the crisis environment are investigated. For this purpose, the countries defined as the ‘Fragile Five’ (Turkey, India, Brazil, Indonesia and South Africa) by Morgan Stanley have been selected as the subject of the study. In order to measure the impact of global negativity on the Fragile Five markets, the period between January 2, 2020 and July 21, 2022, when COVID-19 was effective, has been chosen. TARCH and EGARCH models are used for the estimation of the indices subject to the study. As a result of the TARCH model estimation, it is determined that the coefficient showing the asymmetric effect for the SNSX and FTSE indices is significant. As a result of the EGARCH model estimation, the coefficient showing the asymmetric effect in BIST100, BVSP and JKSE indices is negative and significant. According to these results, the study argues that a negative shock in global markets has a significant effect on volatility.