Özet:

In this study, analyses were conducted in order to see the potential effects of a virtual barrier collapse within a predefined series of scenarios. The subject of the work is the Chinarcık Barj located in the Bursa Illi of Turkey. When certain critical shortcomings are overcome, it is assumed that the barrier is triggered by the collapse. Therefore, the analyses focus on the negative consequences that occur after the collapse and try to predict the level of stumbling in the bark depending on time. During the analyses, the FLDWAV software, developed by the "National Weather Service" in the U.S. has been used to predict the flow profiles, the water face quotas and deforest values, spatially and timely in the framework of defined scenarios, in order to predict the flow profiles, the water face quotas and deforest values. Based on these analyses, the indicator level maps and settlements that are at risk have been identified, and some measures are also recommended to be taken before collapse.

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