Özet:

The unregulated and unconscious use of energy sources causes environmental damage. On the other hand the increasing population density, development of industry and technology increase the demand for electrical energy day by day. For this purpose, investments in the energy sector are directed towards renewable energy sources such as wind energy in order to ensure both environment-friendly and supply-demand balance. The amount of energy obtained from wind energy varies depending on regional differences such as wind direction and speed. In this study, a method is proposed to achieve better results in predicting electricity generation from wind energy by capturing the non-linear and non-stationary nature of wind energy using a hybrid approach of deep learning methods, specifically CNN and BLSTM architectures. In the forecasting model, 26280 real-time data measured at hourly frequency are used. In addition, the hyperparameter values used in the model were optimized using the Grid Search algorithm in order to increase the prediction success. The success of the proposed hybrid model is compared with the BLSTM model. As a result, the R2 value, which indicates the success rate of the proposed CNN-BLSTM model, was calculated as 0.984.

Anahtar Kelimeler: