Bu çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisinde kamunun yaptığı cari, yatırım, faiz, faiz dışı transfer ve faiz dışı toplam kamu harcamaları ile iktisadi büyüme ilişkisi 1975-2015 dönemi verileri kullanılarak ekonometrik olarak analiz edilmiştir. Bu kapsamda ilk olarak yapılan ARDL eş bütünleşme yöntemine göre değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin olmadığı belirlenmiştir. Ardından değişkenler arasındaki kısa dönemli ilişki VAR modeli, Toda-Yamamoto TY ve Hacker-Hatemi-J nedensellik testleri ile incelenmiştir. VAR modeline dayalı ampirik bulgulara göre GSYH’yi açıklayan en önemli değişken faiz harcamalarıdır. Nedensellik analizinde ise TY nedensellik testine göre faiz harcamalarından GSYİH’ye doğru, Hacker-Hatemi-J testine göre ise GSYİH’den faiz harcamalarına doğru nedensellik tespit edilmiştir.
In this study in the Turkish economy the public carrier, investment, interest, non-profit transfer and non-profit total public spending and economic growth relationship were analyzed econometrically using data from the period 1975-2015. According to the first ARDL integration method, there is no long-term relationship between the variables. The short-term relationship between the variables was then studied by the VAR model, the Toda-Yamamoto TY and the Hacker-Hatemi-J causality tests. Based on the VAR model, the most important variable interest spending that explains GDP is the empirical findings. In causality analysis, according to the TY causality test, interest spending to GDP, and according to the Hacker-Hatemi-J test, interest spending to GDP is identified.
In this study, the relationship between types of government spending current, investment, interest, transfer , and gross domestic product are analyzed using the data for the period 19752015 in Turkey. According to the ARDL cointegration method, there is no long-term relationship between the variables. Then, the short-term relationship between variables was examined by VAR model, Toda-Yamamoto TY and Hacker-Hatemi J causality tests. According to VAR model, the most important variable explaining the GDP is interest expenditures. According to the TY and Hacker-Hatemi J causality tests, the causality was determined from interest expenditures to GDP, and from the GDP to interest expenditures, respectively
Dergi Türü : Uluslararası
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