Özet:

Abstract The objective of this study is to determine whether current electric power generation practices in Colombia will cover future electricity demand in a sustainable manner. For this purpose, a projection of a current trend scenario was made using the Autoregressive Vectors model, and the results were compared with the projected electricity demand for the country to the year 2030. An analysis of generation efficiency as a technical indicator, of primary energy intensity as an economic indicator, and of carbon emission intensity as an environmental indicator was carried out. It was identified that starting in 2025, electricity generation will not be able to cover the country's electricity demand at its upper limit, and by 2030 demand will exceed generation in its medium scenario. Therefore, it is advisable to implement energy efficiency strategies that will either reduce end-user electricity demand or increase electricity generation by 2025. On the other hand, the country's electricity generation process tends to increase its η and reduce both its IEP and IEC by 2030, which indicates that the rate of improvement of electricity generation practices in Colombia, which is implicit in the historical data analyzed, will be sufficient to achieve sustainable generation in the future. Downloads Download data is not yet available. Downloads FULL TEXT Published 2023-07-09 How to Cite Valencia-Duque, M., Zapata-Mina, J., Tibaquirá, J. E., & Castillo, J. C. (2023). Sustainability Analysis of Electricity Generation in Colombia through the Projection of Energy Efficiency Indicators. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 13(4), 255–263. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.14206 More Citation Formats ACM ACS APA ABNT Chicago Harvard IEEE MLA Turabian Vancouver Download Citation Endnote/Zotero/Mendeley (RIS) BibTeX Issue Vol. 13 No. 4 (2023) Section Articles License Submission of an article implies that the work described has not been published previously , that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere, that its publication is approved by all authors and tacitly or explicitly by the responsible authorities where the work was carried out, and that, if accepted, will not be published elsewhere in the same form, without the written consent of the Publisher. The Editors reserve the right to edit or otherwise alter all contributions, but authors will receive proofs for approval before publication. Most read articles by the same author(s) Juan J. Tabares, Melissa Valencia, Jose E. Chamorro, Juan R. Vidal, Enrique C. Quispe, Juan E. Tibaquirá, A Methodology to Estimation of Savings Potential at Thermoelectric Plants in Colombia Based on ISO 50001 Standard , International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy: Vol. 13 No. 2 (2023) Make a Submission Make a Submission Dergi Kapağı

Anahtar Kelimeler: