Özet:

The tractor, which is the main power source in agricultural production, is also the top of the important parameters taken into account in the determination of countries’ agricultural mechanization indicators. In Turkey, in parallel with the increase in agricultural production, the production and sales of tractors are also increasing. With the diversity of plant patterns, producers’ need for different agricultural tools and machinery is increasing, and therefore more powerful tractors are preferred. This results in an increase in both the number of tractors and the average power size. In this study, according to the classification of statistical regional units created by the Turkish Statistical Authority (TÜIK), the Central Anadolu Region (TR-7) which covers the provinces of Aksaray, Kayseri, Kırıkkale, Kırşehir, Nevşehir, Niğde, Sivas and Yozgat (TR-7) between 1991-2014 and the distribution of the tractor and power size, the aim is to determine the path that this distribution will follow for 2023. For this purpose, using the TIME data, the time series method has been created models for all power classes and the future scenarios from these models have been prepared. According to the results obtained, in the last 24 years the number of tractors throughout Turkey increased by 76,5%, while in the Central Anadolu region the number of tractors increased by 60.4%, from 78620 to 126128. Furthermore, the average tractor power size of Turkey increased by 7.7 per cent from 36.28 kW to 39.09 kW, while the average power in the Central Anadolu region increased by 7.6 per cent from 38.90 kW to 41.85 kW.

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