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  Citation Number 8
 Views 38
 Downloands 10
TÜRKİYE’DE HİSTERİ HİPOTEZİNİN GEÇERLİLİĞİNİN ÇOKLU YAPISAL KIRILMALI CKP BİRİM KÖK TESTİYLE SINANMASI
2011
Journal:  
Akdeniz İİBF Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Histeri hipotezi işsizlik oranını etkileyen bir şokun etkilerinin kalıcı olduğu anlamına gelmektedir. Bu çalışmada Türkiye için histeri hipotezinin 1923-2010 yılları arasında geçerliliği yıllık işsizlik oranları kullanılarak birim kök analizi ile sınanmıştır. Çalışmada öncelikle işsizlik oranındaki yapısal değişimlerin varlığı Bai-Perron yapısal kırılma testi ile belirlenmiştir. Bu ampirik analiz soncunda sonucunda düzeyde ve de trenddeki kırılmaların birlikte incelendiği modelin seriyi daha iyi açıkladığı görülmüştür. Dolayısıyla yapısal kırılmalı birim kök testinde sınama düzey ve trend için yapılmıştır. Birim kök testi sonuçları Türkiye’de histeri hipotezinin geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir

Keywords:

Testing The Validity Of Hysteresis Hypothesis For Turkey With Ckp Multiple Structural Breaks Unit Root Test
2011
Author:  
Abstract:

Hysteresis hypothesis states that effects of a shock on unemployment is permanent. In this paper hysteresis hypothesis for Turkey is tested, using unit root tests on series between 1923 and 2010 with yearly frequency. The existence of structural changes is examined with Bai-Perron multiple structural breaks test. This empirical analysis depicts that the model with the level and trend breaks fits the series better. Therefore the unit root test is implemented for level and trend while multiple structural breaks are taken into consideration. As a result the unit root test states that hysteresis hypothesis hold for Turkey for the given period

Keywords:

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Akdeniz İİBF Dergisi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Ulusal

Metrics
Article : 466
Cite : 2.552
2023 Impact : 0.543
Akdeniz İİBF Dergisi