Abstract:

In the conditions of growing level of competition and transportation volumes, the task of the assessment of demand parameters impact on carriers expenses becomes particular important when choosing the optimal technological schemes. At the same time the random nature of the transportation process and the limitations imposed by existing laws and acts regulating international road transport should be taken into account in the mathematical model. Existing methods of rationalization of cargo delivery process have some disadvantages due to which their use in the conditions of transport enterprises at the contemporary market is inefficient. The majority of existing methods and models for rationalization of the delivery schemes do not consider the probabilistic characteristics of transport process parameters, and that reduces the efficiency of managerial and organizational decisions. The proposed mathematical models allow us to take into account the random nature of the process of international cargo delivery, if the appropriate statistical data on time parameters and speed of the vehicle are available. Proposed approach allows defining the impact of stochastic demand parameters on operating costs of the transport firm and, as a result, – choosing the appropriate rational schemes of transport servicing. Author Biography Vitalii Naumov, Kharkiv National Automobile and Highway University, 25 Petrovskogo str., Kharkiv, Ukraine, 61002 Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor Department of Transportation Technologies

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