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BIST Orman Kağıt Basım Endeksi ile Bazı Değişkenler Arasındaki Eşbütünleşme ve Nedensellik İlişkileri
2022
Journal:  
Bartın Orman Fakültesi Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışmanın amacı BIST Orman Kağıt Basım (XKAGT) endeksi ile Vadeli Kereste İşlemleri (LBc1), Avrupa Orman- Kağıt endekslerinden Helsinki Forestry & Paper (HX551010PI), Stockholm Forestry & Paper (SX551010PI) ve döviz kurları olarak da Dolar, Euro ve Sterlin’ in eşbütünleşme ve nedensellik ilişkilerini 2.1.2015-22.10.2021 tarih aralığında günlük veriler kullanarak Engle Granger Eşbütünleşme testi ve VAR Granger nedensellik testi ile ortaya koymaktır. Çalışma sonuçlarına göre, (XKAGT) endeksi ile (HX551010PI), (SX551010PI), Dolar, Euro ve Sterlin arasında Engle Granger eşbütünleşme ilişkisi bulunmuş olup, (LBc1) ile eşbütünleşme ilişkisi bulunamamıştır. Değişkenlerle ilgili VAR Granger nedensellik testine göre; (SX551010PI) ve HX551010PI) endeksinden (XKAGT) endeksine, (XKAGT) endeksinden (LBc1) endeksine, (SX551010PI) endeksi ve Sterlin değişkeninden (HX551010PI) endeksine, (XKAGT) endeksi ve Dolar değişkeninden Sterlin değişkenine, (XKAGT) endeksinden Dolar değişkenine, (XKAGT) endeksi ve Dolar değişkeninden Euro değişkenine doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisine rastlanılmıştır.

Keywords:

Cointegration and Causality Relations Between Bist Forest Paper Print Index and Some Variables
2022
Author:  
Abstract:

The aim of this study is BIST Forestry Paper Printing (XKAGT) index and Futures Timber Transactions (LBc1), European Forest-Paper indices Helsinki Forestry & Paper (HX551010PI), Stockholm Forestry & Paper (SX551010PI) and exchange rates in Dollar, Euro and Sterling. The aim is to reveal the cointegration and causality relationships of Engle Granger cointegration test and VAR Granger causality test by using daily data between 2.1.2015-22.10.2021. According to the results of the study, Engle Granger cointegration relationship was found between (XKAGT) index and (HX551010PI), (SX551010PI), Dollar, Euro and Sterling, but no cointegration relationship was found with (LBc1). According to the VAR Granger causality test for the variables; (SX551010PI) and HX551010PI) index to (XKAGT) index, (XKAGT) index to (LBc1) index, (SX551010PI) index and Sterling variable to (HX551010PI) index, (XKAGT) index and Dollar to Sterling variable, (XKAGT) index to Dollar, A one-way causality relationship was found from the (XKAGT) index and the dollar variable to the Euro variable.

Keywords:

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Bartın Orman Fakültesi Dergisi

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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Bartın Orman Fakültesi Dergisi