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  Citation Number 1
 Views 65
 Downloands 22
İthalat, döviz kuru ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin zaman serisi analizi: Türkiye örneği (1994-2018)
2020
Journal:  
Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Ekonomik faaliyetlerin nihai hedefi mal ve hizmetlerin niteliklerini geliştirerek refahı arttırmaktır. Bu amaca ulaşabilmek için açık ekonomi seçmektedirler. Açık ekonomiler için dış ticaret en önemli unsurlardır biridir. İthalat günümüzde ülkelerin birbirleriyle etkileşiminde ve küreselleşmede en etkili araçtır. İthalatı gelir seviyesi, ithal mallara yönelik ilgi, döviz kuru, dış ticaretin liberalleşmesi ve engellenmesi gibi faktörler etkilemektedir. Ülkelerin ithalatını belirleyen en önemli etkenler ise döviz kuru ve ekonomik büyümedir. 1994-2018 yılları arası Türkiye için yapılan bu çalışmada ithalat, ekonomik büyüme ve döviz kuru arasındaki ilişki birim kök, eşbütünleşme ve nedensellik kullanılarak araştırılmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarına göre değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşme yani uzun dönemli ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Bir yıldan az bir zamanda kısa dönemli dalgaların uzun dönem dengesine yakınsanacağı sonucu elde edilmiştir. İthalat ile ekonomik büyüme arasında pozitif korelasyon ilişkisi saptanmıştır. Ayrıca ithalat ile döviz kuru ile ise negatif ilişki tespit edilmiştir. Ek olarak ekonomik büyümeden ithalata doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi saptanmıştır. Bir başka nedensellik ilişkisinin ise ekonomik büyümeden döviz kuruna doğru tek yönlü olduğu sonucuna varılmıştır.

Keywords:

Time series analysis of the relationship between imports, exchange rates and economic growth: example of Turkey (1994-2018)
2020
Author:  
Abstract:

The ultimate goal of economic activities is to increase prosperity byi mproving the qualities of goods and ervices.They choose an open economy to this goal.Nowadays, import is the most effective tool in the interaction of countries and globalization. Imports are influenced by factors such as income level, interest in imported goods, exchange rate, liberalization and hindrance of foreign trade. The most important factors determining the importation of countries are exchange rate and economic growth. In this study conducted for Turkey between 1994-2018, the relationship between imports, economic growth and exchange rate was investigated using by unitroot, cointegration and causality. According to the results of the analysis, cointegration, the long-term relationship between the variables was determined. The result was that short-term waves would converge to long-term balance in less than a year. A positive correlation between imports and economic growth was determined. In addition, the negative relationship between imports and the exchange rate has been determined. Moreover, a one-way causality relationship between economic growth and imports has been identified. Another causality relationship was concluded to be one-way from economic growth to exchange rate.

Keywords:

Time Series Analysis Of The Relationship Between Import, Economic Growth and Exchange Rate: The Case Of Turkey (1994-2018)
2020
Author:  
Abstract:

The ultimate goal of economic activities is to increase prosperity byi mproving the qualities of goods ands ervices.They choose an open economy to achieve this goal.Nowadays, import is the most effective tool in the interaction of countries and globalization. Imports are influenced by factors such as income level, interest in imported goods, exchange rate, liberalization and hindrance of foreigntrade. The most important factors determining the importation of countries are exchange rate and economic growth. In this study conducted for Turkey between 1994-2018, the relationship between imports, economic growth and exchange rate was investigated using by unitroot, cointegration and causality. According to the results of the analysis, cointegration, the long-term relationship between the variables was determined. The result was that short-term waves would converge to long-term equilibrium in less than a year. A positive correlation between imports and economic growth was determined. In addition, the negative relationship between imports and the exchange rate has been determined. Moreover ,a one-way causality relationship between economic growth and imports has been identified. Another causality relationship was concluded to be one-way from economic growth to exchange rate.

Keywords:

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Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

Metrics
Article : 749
Cite : 5.349
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Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi