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Türkiye Ekonomisinde Finansal Dışa Açıklık Cari Açığın Nedeni Midir?
2023
Journal:  
International Journal of Social Inquiry
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışmada, son 20-30 yılda Türkiye ekonomisinin en kronik sorunlarından biri haline gelen cari açık ile, yine bu dönemde genel olarak ekonomi yönetimlerinin bilinçli tercihi olan finansal dışa açıklık arasındaki ilişki ampirik olarak incelenmiştir. Ampirik analiz için, cari açık ve finansal dışa açıklıkla birlikte reel efektif döviz kuru değişkeninin 1998:1-2019:1 dönemi çeyreklik verileri ve Granger nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarına göre, söz konusu dönemde cari açık ile reel efektif döviz kuru ve cari açık ile finansal dışa açıklık arasında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Bu bağlamda, çalışmada Türkiye’de başta doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar olmak üzere uzun vadeli yabancı sermaye girişini teşvik edici politikalar ve gerçekçi kur politikaları uygulanarak cari açığın azaltılması gerektiği vurgulanmıştır.

Keywords:

Is Financial Openness In The Turkish Economy The Cause Of The Current Account Deficit
2023
Author:  
Abstract:

In this study, the relationship between the current account deficit, which has become one of the most chronic problems of the Turkish economy in the last 20-30 years, and financial openness, which is the conscious choice of the economy managements in this period is empirically examined. Quarterly data of the current account deficit, financial openness and real effective exchange rate variables for the period 1998:1-2019:1 and the Granger causality test is used for empirical analysis. According to the results of the analysis, a bidirectional causality relationship is found between the current account deficit and the real effective exchange rate, and between the current account deficit and financial openness. In this context, it is emphasized that the current account deficit should be reduced by implementing policies that encourage long-term foreign capital inflows, especially foreign direct investments, and realistic exchange rate policies in Türkiye.

Keywords:

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Similar Articles






International Journal of Social Inquiry

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

Metrics
Article : 324
Cite : 381
2023 Impact : 0.2
International Journal of Social Inquiry