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Etkin Piyasa Hipotezinin İncelenmesi: G-20 Ülkelerinden Kanıtlar
2023
Journal:  
Journal Of Social, Humanities And Administrative Sciences
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışmanın amacı G-20 ülkelerinde (ABD, Almanya, Arjantin, Avustralya, Brezilya, Çin, Endonezya, Fransa, Güney Afrika, Güney Kore, Hindistan, İngiltere, İtalya, Japonya, Kanada, Meksika, Rusya, Suudi Arabistan ve Türkiye) etkin piyasa hipotezinin geçerliliğinin literatürden farklı olarak veri setindeki normal dağılım göstermeme durumunu, doğrusal olmama durumunu ve yapısal kırılmaları dikkate alarak incelemektir. Bu bağlamda ADF, RALS-ADF, Fourier-ADF ve Fourier-KSS birim kök testlerinden faydalanılmıştır. Uygulanan testlerin ampirik bulgularına göre, Almanya, Arjantin, Avustralya, Fransa, Güney Afrika, Güney Kore, Japonya ve Suudi Arabistan ülkelerinin borsa endekslerine uygulanan tüm birim kök testlerinde etkin piyasa hipotezinin geçerli olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Buna karşın Çin’in borsa endeksinin tüm birim kök testlerinde ise durağan bir süreç izlediği, yani etkin piyasa hipotezinin geçersiz olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. ABD, Brezilya, Endonezya, Hindistan, İngiltere, İtalya, Kanada, Meksika, Rusya ve Türkiye için ise kullanılan yönteme göre sonucun değiştiği gözlemlenmiştir.

 

Keywords:

Examining The Efficient Hypothesis: Evidence From G-20 Countries
2023
Author:  
Abstract:

The aim of this study is to have an active role in G-20 countries (USA, Germany, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, China, Indonesia, France, South Africa, South Korea, India, England, Italy, Japan, Canada, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Turkey). The aim of this study is to examine the validity of the market hypothesis by considering the non-normal distribution in the data set, non-linearity and structural breaks, unlike the literature. In this context, ADF, RALS-ADF, Fourier-ADF and Fourier-CSS unit root tests were used. According to the empirical findings of the tests applied, it has been concluded that the efficient market hypothesis is valid in all unit root tests applied to the stock market indices of Germany, Argentina, Australia, France, South Africa, South Korea, Japan and Saudi Arabia. On the other hand, it has been concluded that China's stock market index follows a static process in all unit root tests, that is, the efficient market hypothesis is invalid. It has been observed that the results vary according to the method used for the USA, Brazil, Indonesia, India, England, Italy, Canada, Mexico, Russia and Turkey.

 

Keywords:

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Journal Of Social, Humanities And Administrative Sciences

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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Journal Of Social, Humanities And Administrative Sciences