Abstract:

This study aimed to examine the Geographical Information Systems-based LUCIS (Land Use Conflict Identification Strategy) model and to apply it in Gölbaşı district of Ankara. In line with this purpose, targets and objectives were determined primarily to determine the suitability of the agriculture, conversation and settlement areas; data inventory suitable for these purposes has been made and conformity analyzes have been carried out based on the criteria in the original model. Each area was evaluated in sub-categories for suitability analysis; the criteria obtained were subjected to suitability analyses in a hierarchical order, and suitability maps were produced for three main areas through the induction method. Then, these three area were classified as low, medium and high and were overlaid, and the areas that overlap on pixel basis were determined. Based on the combination of codes in the table of characteristics, low, medium and high conflict areas were re-created. While non-conflict areas preserved their former characteristics, the next preference in conflict areas was determined according to the dominant feature. Thus, the aim was achieved by deciding which pixel will be allocated to which main area in the next period. As a result, it has been determined that 66% of Gölbaşı district collides between land cover classes and this conflict is rather moderate. In the assignments arising due to the conflict areas, it was observed that the residential areas in the northern part of the district will expand and the other areas will remain almost the same. When the result obtained is evaluated with the existing land cover and development, LUCIS model gave a successful result for Gölbaşı district.

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