Bu çalışmanın amacı, Fama & French (1992, 1993 ve 1996) tarafından Sermaye Varlıklarını Fiyatlama Modeli’ne (SVFM) alternatif olarak geliştirilen Üç Faktörlü modelin (FF3F Modeli) ve daha sonra yine Fama & French (2015) tarafından geliştirilen ve mevcut çalışmalarını bir adım daha öteye taşıdıkları Beş Faktörlü modelin (FF5F Modeli) Borsa İstanbul’da test edilmesidir. Bu doğrultuda, aylık veriler kullanılarak Temmuz 2009 – Haziran 2018 döneminde BIST 100 Endeksi’nde kesintisiz işlem gören hisse senetlerinin 108 aylık kapanış fiyatları kullanılarak FF3F ve FF5F modelleri test edilmiştir. FF3F Modeli için kurulan 6, FF5F Modeli için kurulan 14 regresyon modeli çoklu zaman serisi regresyon analizi ile test edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlar, FF3F ve FF5F modelinin BİST 100 Endeksi üzerinde uygulanabilir olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca F istatistik ve Düzeltilmiş R2 değerleri incelendiğinde hisse senedi getirilerini açıklamada FF3F modelinin FF5F modeline kıyasla daha iyi performans gösterdiği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.
The aim of this study is to test the Three Factor Model (FF3F Model) developed by Fama & French (1992, 1993 and 1996) as an alternative to the Capital Asset Assessment Model (SVFM) and then again developed by Fama & French (2015) and the Five Factor Model (FF5F Model) that they have moved their current work a step further. In this regard, using monthly data, the FF3F and FF5F models were tested using the 108 monthly closing prices of the BIST 100 index that were treated without interruption between July 2009 and June 2018. Founded for the FF3F Model 6, Founded for the FF5F Model, 14 regression models have been tested with multi-time series regression analysis. The results showed that the FF3F and FF5F models are applicable on the BIST 100 Index. In addition, when the F statistics and Corrected R2 values were examined, the share return was revealed to the conclusion that the FF3F model performed better than the FF5F model.
The aim of this study is to test these models in Istanbul Stock Exchange; The Three Factor Model (FF3F Model) which is developed by Fama & French (1992, 1993 and 1996) as an alternative to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and The Five Factor Model (FF5F Model) which is also developed by Fama & French (2015) that takes the existing studies one step further. According to that, FF3F and FF5F models are tested by using 108 months closing prices of the stocks continuously traded in BIST 100 Index between July 2009 and June 2018. 6 regression model for FF3F Model and 14 regression model for FF5F Model were tested with multiple time series regression analysis. The results showed that the FF3F and FF5F Model can be applied on BIST 100 Index. Furthermore, when the F statistics and Adjusted R2 values were examined, it was concluded that the FF3F model outperformed the FF5F Model in explaining the stock returns.
Alan : Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler
Dergi Türü : Uluslararası
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