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Döviz Kuru-Dış Ticaret İlişkisi: BRİCS-T Ülkeleri Özelinde Bir Araştırma
2019
Journal:  
SOCIAL SCIENCES STUDIES JOURNAL (SSSJournal)
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışmada; BRICS-T (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin, Güney Afrika ve Türkiye) ülkelerinde dış ticaret ile döviz kurları arasında ilişki panel veri yöntemleri kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. 2011Q1-2018Q4 dönemine ait çeyrek dönem verilerinin kullanıldığı analizlerde, BRICS-T ülkelerinde GSYH ve reel efektif döviz kurlarının ihracat üzerindeki etkileri noktasında istatistiksel olarak anlamlı sonuçlar üretilememiştir. Buna karşın ithalat modeli sonuçlarına göre; hem GSYH hem de reel efektif döviz kurları arttıkça BRICS-T ülkelerinde uzun dönemde ithalat düzeyinde artış meydana gelecektir. Buna göre gelir düzeyi arttıkça yabancı mal talebi artacak, reel efektif döviz kurlarındaki artış da ülkenin ulusal parasının ağırlıklı ortalama değerini yükselttiğinden ithalatı yükseltecektir.

Keywords:

Currency Dry-Foreign Trade Relationship: A Special Research on BRICS-T Countries
2019
Author:  
Abstract:

In this study; BRICS-T (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa and Turkey) countries were analyzed using panel data methods of the relationship between foreign trade and exchange rates. In the analysis of the quarterly data for the 2011Q1-2018Q4 period, statistically meaningful results were not produced in the BRICS-T countries on the impact of GDP and real effective exchange rates on exports. However, according to the import model results; as both GDP and real effective exchange rates increase, the import levels in the BRICS-T countries will increase in the long term. As the income level increases, the demand for foreign goods will increase, and the increase in real effective exchange rates will also increase imports as the country’s national currency increases the weight average value.

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SOCIAL SCIENCES STUDIES JOURNAL (SSSJournal)

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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SOCIAL SCIENCES STUDIES JOURNAL (SSSJournal)