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ARIMA ve VAR MODELLERİNİN TAHMİN BAŞARILARININ KARŞILAŞTIRILMASI
2001
Journal:  
Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Bu çalışmada, zaman serisi analizlerinde sıkça kullanılan iki modelin, Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) ve Vektör Otoregresyon (VAR) modellerinin geleceği tahmin etmedeki başarıları değerlendirilmektedir. Bu değerlendirmede, Türkiye'ye ait enflasyon oranı, döviz kur sepetindeki artış oranı ve faiz oranı ele alınmaktadır.

Keywords:

Arima and VAR models are successful.
2001
Author:  
Abstract:

This study evaluates the success of two models commonly used in time series analysis, the Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) and the Vector Otorgression (VAR) models in predicting the future. In this assessment, the rate of inflation belonging to Turkey, the rate of increase in the exchange rate seat and the rate of interest are addressed.

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Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Ulusal

Metrics
Article : 136
Cite : 311
Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi