Abstract:

This study aims to analyze how economic sanctions can have an impact on the sanctioned country and, based on this analysis, to make a projection for future Accordingly, this research analyzes the potential impact of CAATSA (Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act) sanctions on domestic production of Turkey’s defense industry. In the first phase of this analysis, the effects of the US arms embargo on Turkey between 1975-78 were investigated. Based on that a projection for potential effects of CAATSA sanctions is put forward. Sanctions, as a foreign policy tool, are essential in the perception of global politics as they are a reflection of economic and political relations. Analyses of the impact of current sanctions through past information of the same actors are rare in the literature. This study aims to fill this gap by focusing on potential consequences of current sanctions through lens of a past sanction process between the same actors. Qualitative method was used for the purpose of analytical generalization. The study sheds light on the present (2020-2021) from the durational limitation of 1975-1978. Based on several parameters such as conjuncture of the period, the causes and objectives of the sanctions, domestic political conditions, and the current condition of the Turkish defense industry, the study infers that the advance in domestic production of Turkish defense industry resulting from the 1975-78 arms embargo is unlikely to occur, in the short term, as a result of CAATSA sanctions.

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