Abstract:

Expectations regarding the economy and economic confidence are the main driving factors of the saving sactors. Influencing many macro variables around economic actors. In this context, the purpose of use is to reveal the relations between the exchange rate variable and economic confidence indices for the Turkish economy. For this, with the real exchange rate variable; The explanations between consumer confidence index, real sector confidence index, credit default swaps (CDS premium) an industrial production index as a control variable are run using the ARDL limit test on a monthly basis for the period 2011-2023. Findings with real exchange rate in the long run; negative consumer confidence index; it aims to aim at positive and statistical purposes with the aim of industrial production. On the other hand, no statistical finding was found between the real exchange rate, the real sector confidence environment and the CDS premium. In the short term, with the real exchange rate; negative among CDS premium; positive with the real sector confidence environment and consumer confidence assessment; It Marks the relationships between the industrial production institution and its negative and statistical outputs.

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