Özet:

The method based on a particle filter for a fatigue crack growth prognosis has proved to be a powerful and effective tool for developing prognostics and health management (PHM) technology. However, the widely used basic particle filter have the unavoidable particle impoverishment problem, which will make particles unable to approximate the true posterior probability density function of the system state and lead to a prognosis result with a large error. This paper proposes a fatigue crack growth prognosis method based on a deterministic resampling particle filter. The active structural health monitoring based on the Lamb wave is used for on-line crack length monitoring with piezoelectric transducers. With the on-line crack measurement, the crack state and crack growth model parameters are estimated for a fatigue crack growth prognosis. In addition, the deterministic resampling procedure is employed to overcome the particle impoverishment problem. The result shows the proposed crack growth prognosis method based on deterministic resampling particle filter can provide more satisfactory results than the basic particle filter.

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