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Hükümetlerin kamu maliyesini sağlıklı şekilde sürdürebilmesinin koşullarından biri, ortaya çıkabilecek riskleri iyi analiz edip, en aza indirmeyi sağlamaktır. Bu bağlamda son yıllarda birçok ülkede görülen koşullu yükümlülüklerdeki artış eğilimi, dikkate alınması ve izlenmesi gereken risk unsurlarından biridir. Koşullu yükümlülüklerdeki artışın, kamu borcunda ve kamu açıklarında artışa yol açmasının yanı sıra kamu kesiminde mali şeffaflık ve ahlaki tehlike yaratma potansiyeli bulunmaktadır. Bu çalışmada amaç Türkiye’nin koşullu yükümlülüklerini 1990-2018 dönemi için analiz etmektir. Çalışmada koşullu yükümlülüklerin son yıllarda arttığı tespit edilmiştir. Bu artış, Türkiye’nin mali istikrarı açısından bir risk olarak değerlendirilebilir. Ayrıca koşullu yükümlülüklerin yönetiminde başta mali şeffaflık olmak üzere bazı sorunlar mevcuttur.
One of the conditions for governments to sustain public finance in a healthy way is to analyze and minimize the possible risks that may arise in the future. In this context, the upward trend in contingent liabilities seen in many countries in recent years has become one of the major risk factors to be considered and monitored. The increase in contingent liabilities has the potential to lead to an increase in public debt and public deficits, as well as the potential for fiscal transparency and moral hazard in the public sector. In this study, the aim is to analyze Turkey's contingent liabilities for the period 1990-2018. The study is determined that contingent liabilities has increased in recent years. It can be said that this increase is a risk to the fiscal stability of Turkey. Another result is that there are some problems, especially fiscal transparency, in the management of contingent liabilities.
One of the conditions for governments to sustain public finance in a healthy way is to analyze and minimize the possible risks that may arise in the future. In this context, the upward trend in contingent liabilities seen in many countries in recent years has become one of the mayor risk factors to be considered and monitored. The increase in contingent liabilities has the potential to lead to an increase in public debt and public deficits, as well as the potential for fiscal transparency and moral hazard in the public sector. In this study, the aim is to analyze Turkey's contingent liabilities for the period 1990-2018. The study is determined that contingent liabilities has increased in recent years. It can be said that this increase is a risk to fiscal stability of Turkey. Another result is that there are some problems, especially fiscal transparency, in the management of contingent liabilities.
Field : Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler
Journal Type : Uluslararası
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