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Bu çalışmanın hedefi Türkiye’de 1987 – 2015 döneminde politik istikrarsızlık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığını araştırmaktır. Bu amaçla gerçekleştirilen simetrik ve asimetrik nedensellik testlerinin sonucunda literatürden farklı olarak ekonomik büyümede meydana gelen pozitif şokların politik istikrarsızlık üzerinde pozitif şok yarattığı bulgusuna ulaşılmıştır. Bu durum gerek bölüşüm ilişkileri çerçevesinde ülke içindeki çıkar çatışmalarına gerekse Türkiye’nin jeopolitik ve jeostratejik önemi dikkate alındığında rakip ülkelerin Türkiye’nin gücünü zayıflatıcı yöndeki girişimleriyle açıklanabilir. Bu noktadan hareketle daha hızlı büyüyen ve gelişen bir Türkiye için dış güçlere karşı kararlı duruş sergileyen kamusal iktidarın ve politik alanda uzlaşma ve hoşgörü kültürünün egemen kılınmasının önemli olduğu ifade edilebilir. Bu unsurlar Türkiye ekonomisinin yapısal sorunlarını ortadan kaldırıcı politikalarla birleştirildiğinde bölgesel anlamda Türkiye’yi öncü kılan yeni bir güç dengesi oluşturulabilecektir.
The aim of this study is to explore the existence of the causal relationship between political instability and economic growth in Turkey in the period 1987-2015. The results of the symmetric and asymmetric causality tests conducted for this purpose have found that, unlike literature, the positive shocks in economic growth have created a positive shock on political instability. This situation, in the framework of the division relations, requires interest conflicts within the country, and if the geopolitical and geostrategic importance of Turkey is taken into account, it can be explained by the efforts of the competing countries to weaken the power of Turkey. From this point of view, it can be expressed that it is important for a Turkey that is growing and developing faster and that the public power and the culture of consensus and tolerance in the political field are dominated. When these elements are combined with policies that eradicate the structural problems of the Turkish economy, a new power balance will be created that will lead Turkey in the regional sense.
The aim of this study is to analyze the existence of the relationship between the political instability and economic growth for the period between 1987 and 2015 in the Turkish economy. According to results of the symmetric and asymmetric causality tests the evidence for the existence of the positive shock effects over the political instability caused by the positive shocks in the economic growth has been achieved in contradistinction to the literature. This situation can be explained either through the conflicts of interests within the frame of distribution relationships and through the attempts of rival countries to weaken the Turkey within the frame of geopolitical and geostrategic importance she has. From this point of view it can be expressed that it is very important for reconciliation and tolerance to be hegemon in the political field and the existence of public organization that maintain a firm stand against external powers to actualize a faster growing and developped Turkey. A new balance of power can be formed in which the Turkey take a leading role regionally when these facts are combined with the policies that eliminate the structural problems of the Turkish economy.
Field : Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler
Journal Type : Uluslararası
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