Özet:

In this study, it is aimed to analyze the trend in average monthly and yearly temperatures in Cizre District. In the study, trends (positive or negative) in monthly and annual average temperatures have been determined, using 59 years of temperature data covering between 1963-2021 from Meteorology Station of the Cizre district. The reason of choosing Cizre as the study area is that it is one of the districts with highest average temperatures in Türkiye and to find out the effects of climate change in the area. In this study, Mann-Kendall Trend Test and Linear Trend Model analysis methods, which are commonly preferred in trend analyses, have been used. Trends in temperatures have been determined by Mann-Kendall method and future predictions were made by Linear Trend method. According to the results, it has been determined that there has been a positive trend in average temperatures in February, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, December and in annual average temperatures in Cizre. Positive trends are more common in spring and summer seasons. This positive trend in temperature average will certainly cause unfavorable impacts on many areas such as agriculture, animal husbandry, and tourism and energy generation. It is advised to initiate necessary studies to reduce the effects of climate change by utilizing water resources consciously.