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Markov Regime Switching Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic Model and Volatility Modeling for Oil Returns
2015
Journal:  
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Author:  
Abstract:

In conjunction with the recent alternative models, a wide literature has been established for volatility modeling in finance theory. In this study, we examine return volatility of Brent oil returns through GARCH, EGARCH, GJR-GARCH and MRS-GARCH models. As a preliminary test concerning the potential regimes, first, we use modified ICSS test in order to examine the existence of breaks in the variance of return series. All volatility models are formed under normal, GED and student-t distributions. According to the AIC and BIC values, MRS-GARCH model outperforms all other alternative models. Another interesting result is the failure of the models that formed under normal distribution.

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International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

Metrics
Article : 2.578
Cite : 3.941
2023 Impact : 0.22
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy