Özet:

The Turkish economy continues its growth process after the 2001 banking crisis. Sometimes there are low growth rates. On the other hand, some macroeconomic indicators, such as inflation, interest rates and unemployment, have a negative rise in recent periods. One of the indicators that are important for all economic sections in this scope is the exchange rate. Currency rates in Turkey have slowly risen between 2002-2013, while the rate has increased faster between 2014-2016. The currency rates that reached the historic levels in January 2017 began to fall after January. In other words, the currency rates show sudden increases in some periods. The table in the currencies, on the one hand, causes uncertainty and anxiety, while on the other hand, affects the sections that trade with the currency. Therefore, the factors that influence the currencies should be determined in order to ensure that the currencies can be effectively directed. In this study in Turkey, the factors affecting the U.S. Dollar and Euro currencies were determined to help regulatory and supervisory authorities keep the currencies under control. In the study in Turkey, for the determination of the factors affecting the U.S. dollar/TL and Euro/TL parity 2006:1-2017:6 monthly data in the period range, 12 independent variables and Multi-variable Adaptable Regression Currents (MARS) method was used.

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