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CDS, Borsa ve Döviz Kuru Arasındaki İlişkilerin Analizi: Covid-19’dan Kanıtlar
2022
Journal:  
Ekonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi
Author:  
Abstract:

Çalışmanın amacı, CDS, BIST100 endeksi ve Dolar/TL kuru arasındaki ilişkileri Covid-19 döneminde araştırmaktadır. Bu amaçla çalışmada, Breitung ve Candelon’un (2006) geliştirdiği frekans alanında nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonuçları doğrultusunda, CDS ile BIST100 endeksi arasında karşılıklı nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiş olup bu ilişki CDS’den BIST100 endeksine doğru kısa ve orta dönemde gerçekleşirken, BIST100 endeksinden CDS’e doğru tüm frekans aralığında (tüm dönemlerde) tespit edilmiştir. Diğer bir ifade ile CDS’den BIST100 endeksine doğru nedensellik kalıcı değilken, BIST100 endeksinden CDS’e doğru olan nedenselliğin kalıcı olduğu ifade edilebilir. Benzer bir şekilde CDS ile Dolar/TL kuru arasında karşılıklı nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiş olup bu ilişki CDS’den Dolar/TL kuruna doğru kısa ve orta dönemde gerçekleşirken, Dolar/TL kurundan CDS’ye doğru frekans aralığında (tüm dönemlerde) tespit edilmiştir. Diğer bir ifade ile CDS’den Dolar/TL kuruna doğru nedensellik kalıcı değilken Dolar/TL kurundan CDS’e doğru olan nedenselliğin kalıcı olduğu ifade edilebilir.

Keywords:

Analysis Of Relations Between Cds, Stock Market, and Exchange Rate: Evidence From Covid-19
2022
Author:  
Abstract:

The aim of the study is to investigate the relationships between CDS, the BIST100 index, and the US Dollar/Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) exchange rate during the Covid-19 period. For this purpose, the study used the frequency domain causality test developed by Breitung and Candelon (2006). According to the results of the study, a bidirectional causal relationship was found between CDS and the BIST100 index. While this relationship took place in the short and medium term from CDS to BIST100 index, it was detected in the entire frequency range (in all periods) from BIST100 index to CDS. In other words, it can be stated that while the causality from CDS to BIST100 index is not permanent, causality from BIST100 index to CDS is permanent. Similarly, a bidirectional causality relationship was found between CDS and the USD/TRY exchange rate. While this relationship occurred in the short and medium term from CDS to USD/TRY exchange rate, it was detected in the entire frequency range (in all periods) from USD/TRY exchange rate to CDS. In other words, it can be stated that while the causality from CDS to USD/TRY exchange rate is not permanent, the causality from USD/TRY exchange rate to CDS is permanent.

Keywords:

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Ekonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi

Field :   Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler

Journal Type :   Uluslararası

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Ekonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi