Özet:

As the Turkish economy grows, the energy demand and the oil demand of the economy are increasing. The relationship between the unemployment rates in Turkey and the world oil prices, for the 1980-2016 period; VAR model analysis, Johansen equalization test, Granger causality test and error correction model have been studied. As a result, there is a causal relationship between unemployment rates and oil prices for our country. Oil prices play an important role in the economy of each country. The sudden rise in oil prices leads to high inflation, unemployment and the decline of GSMH The rise in oil prices has a direct negative impact on the Turkish economy, the growth, the balance of payments, the inflation and the budget while also has an impact on the unemployment rate.  In Turkey, before the economic crises of the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s, the world’s oil prices have seen a significant increase. After the economic crisis, the unemployment rate has increased. In 2040, the world’s population will reach 9 billion, energy demand will increase by 35%, and 60% of this demand will be satisfied by oil and natural gas, and Turkey will be among the top 10 countries in this demand increase.

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